Final Score: Marlins 2 - Red Sox 8
Tuesday, June 16, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
32-33 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.1
Red Sox
38-25 Rating 1579
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Red Sox
All-time wins 8 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 6.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Red Sox
Games played 65 63
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 49% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 72%