Final Score: Astros 7 - Padres 1
Wednesday, July 1, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
36-40 Rating 1496
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Padres
34-42 Rating 1456
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 300 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 76 76
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.9
Win percentage 47% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 58%