Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Blue Jays 9
Tuesday, August 18, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
66-51 Rating 1561
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Blue Jays
55-61 Rating 1507
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 253 205
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.6
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 117 116
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 56% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 54%