Final Score: Phillies 4 - Pirates 1
Wednesday, August 26, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
72-51 Rating 1560
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Pirates
52-71 Rating 1428
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 271 287
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 123 123
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 59% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 55%