Final Score: Nationals 5 - Cubs 4
Thursday, August 27, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Nationals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
45-82 Rating 1409
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.3
Cubs
63-61 Rating 1511
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cubs
All-time wins 285 265
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cubs
Games played 127 124
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.3
Win percentage 35% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 61%