Final Score: Cubs 1 - Padres 4
Monday, August 17, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
60-55 Rating 1518
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Padres
49-70 Rating 1439
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 237 191
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 115 119
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.1
Win percentage 52% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 50%