Final Score: Phillies 12 - Cubs 5
Wednesday, August 12, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
62-48 Rating 1549
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Cubs
58-53 Rating 1519
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 293 264
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 110 111
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.2
Win percentage 56% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 62%