Final Score: Phillies 6 - Cubs 1
Thursday, August 13, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
63-48 Rating 1551
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Cubs
58-54 Rating 1517
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 294 264
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 12 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 111 112
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 61%