Final Score: Marlins 9 - Nationals 5
Saturday, September 5, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
71-64 Rating 1505
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Nationals
46-89 Rating 1401
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 143 114
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 9 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 135 135
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 53% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 40%