Final Score: Phillies 3 - Astros 4
Monday, September 7, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
77-57 Rating 1553
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Astros
66-70 Rating 1496
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 197 224
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 134 136
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.7
Win percentage 57% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 56%