Final Score: Phillies 3 - Astros 4
Sunday, September 6, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
77-56 Rating 1556
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Astros
65-70 Rating 1494
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 197 223
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 133 135
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.7
Win percentage 58% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 55%