Final Score: Cubs 2 - Cardinals 3
Friday, September 18, 2009 at 8:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
75-70 Rating 1511
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
Cardinals
85-62 Rating 1530
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 334 335
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 145 147
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.9
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 59%