Final Score: Reds 7 - Cubs 5
Saturday, September 12, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
63-78 Rating 1454
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
72-67 Rating 1513
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 271 253
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 141 139
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.2
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%