Final Score: Pirates 3 - Reds 5
Wednesday, September 2, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
53-78 Rating 1419
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
59-73 Rating 1454
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 253 292
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 5 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 131 132
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 40% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 45%