Final Score: Pirates 5 - Reds 11
Tuesday, September 1, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
53-77 Rating 1421
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
58-73 Rating 1452
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 253 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 130 131
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.7
Win percentage 41% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 44%