Final Score: Nationals 6 - Mets 5
Friday, September 18, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
50-96 Rating 1402
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: New York Mets +1.0
Mets
63-84 Rating 1475
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 331 351
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.1
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 146 147
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.8
Win percentage 34% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 50%