Final Score: Nationals 2 - Mets 3
Saturday, September 19, 2009 at 1:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
51-96 Rating 1405
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.9
Mets
63-85 Rating 1472
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 332 351
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.1
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 147 148
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.8
Win percentage 35% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 49%