Final Score: Marlins 1 - Reds 8
Sunday, September 20, 2009 at 1:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
80-69 Rating 1511
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Reds
68-81 Rating 1460
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 61 79
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 54% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 47%