Final Score: Mariners 4 - Rays 3
Tuesday, September 22, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Mariners @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
78-72 Rating 1497
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
77-73 Rating 1523
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Rays
All-time wins 62 42
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Rays
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 3.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 52% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 64%