Final Score: Phillies 5 - Pirates 8
Sunday, July 4, 2010 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-37 Rating 1542
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Pirates
29-52 Rating 1403
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 274 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 12 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 79 81
Avg runs scored 4.8 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.5
Win percentage 53% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 47%