Final Score: Padres 5 - Cubs 4
Wednesday, April 20, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
7-10 Rating 1495
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Cubs
9-8 Rating 1488
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cubs
All-time wins 198 243
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cubs
Games played 17 17
Avg runs scored 3.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.4 4.7
Win percentage 41% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 62%