Final Score: Marlins 8 - Cardinals 7
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 8:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
18-10 Rating 1511
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.2
Cardinals
17-13 Rating 1512
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 59 82
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.7
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 28 30
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.1
Win percentage 64% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 50%