Final Score: Phillies 1 - Cardinals 2
Tuesday, May 17, 2011 at 8:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
25-15 Rating 1567
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Cardinals
23-19 Rating 1511
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 276 295
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 40 42
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.2
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.2
Win percentage 62% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 55%