Final Score: Phillies 5 - Braves 4
Friday, May 13, 2011 at 7:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
24-12 Rating 1571
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Braves
21-18 Rating 1519
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 276 302
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 36 39
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.2 3.2
Win percentage 67% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 53%