Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 7
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-15 Rating 1439
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
19-9 Rating 1570
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 334 380
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 29 28
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.2
Win percentage 48% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 67%