Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 2
Saturday, April 23, 2011 at 8:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-6 Rating 1568
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Padres
8-12 Rating 1494
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 237 195
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 19 20
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.0
Avg runs conceded 3.5 3.3
Win percentage 68% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 30%