Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 3
Friday, April 15, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
7-5 Rating 1500
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
9-3 Rating 1569
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 131 154
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.7 5.3
Last meeting 5 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 12 12
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.5
Win percentage 58% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 83%