Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 0
Thursday, April 14, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
8-3 Rating 1568
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
5-6 Rating 1435
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 378 334
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 11 11
Avg runs scored 6.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.5
Win percentage 73% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 40%