Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 0
Thursday, April 21, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
11-6 Rating 1565
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Padres
8-10 Rating 1497
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 235 195
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 17 18
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.4
Win percentage 65% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 38%