Final Score: Nationals 3 - Phillies 7
Thursday, May 5, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-16 Rating 1438
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
20-9 Rating 1571
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 334 381
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.3
Win percentage 47% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 69%