Final Score: Mets 1 - Phillies 2
Saturday, April 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
11-15 Rating 1471
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
17-8 Rating 1570
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 350 365
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 26 25
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.5
Win percentage 42% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 67%