Final Score: Astros 7 - Padres 4
Thursday, June 2, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
22-34 Rating 1462
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
24-32 Rating 1485
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 306 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.8
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 56 56
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.4
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.9
Win percentage 39% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 31%