Final Score: Astros 3 - Blue Jays 2
Sunday, May 22, 2011 at 1:07 PM ET

Astros @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
16-30 Rating 1457
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.9
Blue Jays
23-22 Rating 1525
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Blue Jays
All-time wins 4 1
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 2.8
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Blue Jays
Games played 46 45
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.3
Win percentage 35% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 52%