Final Score: Astros 5 - Blue Jays 7
Saturday, May 21, 2011 at 1:07 PM ET

Astros @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
16-29 Rating 1458
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.9
Blue Jays
22-22 Rating 1523
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Blue Jays
All-time wins 4 0
Last 5 meetings 1 0
Average runs 4.5 1.8
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Blue Jays
Games played 45 44
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.3
Win percentage 36% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 50%