Final Score: Astros 1 - Braves 3
Tuesday, May 17, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
15-26 Rating 1461
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Braves
24-19 Rating 1523
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Braves
All-time wins 279 303
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Braves
Games played 41 43
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.3 3.2
Win percentage 37% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 57%