Final Score: Astros 1 - Pirates 6
Saturday, May 7, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
13-19 Rating 1471
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Pirates
15-17 Rating 1412
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 286 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 32 32
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.2
Win percentage 41% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 31%