Final Score: Astros 4 - Reds 10
Thursday, May 5, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
12-18 Rating 1470
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
15-15 Rating 1497
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 340 347
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 30 30
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.7
Win percentage 40% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 50%