Final Score: Reds 5 - Cubs 4
Friday, May 6, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
16-15 Rating 1499
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Cubs
14-16 Rating 1483
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 284 258
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 31 30
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.9
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 43%