Final Score: Reds 4 - Rays 3
Wednesday, June 29, 2011 at 12:10 PM ET

Reds @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
41-40 Rating 1500
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.8
Rays
45-35 Rating 1552
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Rays
All-time wins 7 1
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 6.9 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Rays
Games played 81 80
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.9
Win percentage 51% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 50%