Final Score: Nationals 5 - Astros 2
Monday, July 18, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
47-48 Rating 1456
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Astros
31-64 Rating 1429
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Astros
All-time wins 191 239
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Astros
Games played 95 95
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.0
Win percentage 49% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 30%