Final Score: Pirates 7 - Astros 5
Sunday, July 17, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
48-44 Rating 1440
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Astros
31-63 Rating 1431
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 262 288
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 92 94
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 52% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 31%