Final Score: Padres 5 - Marlins 3
Thursday, July 21, 2011 at 12:10 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-55 Rating 1480
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
47-51 Rating 1488
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 72 68
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 14 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 98 98
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 44% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 42%