Final Score: Mets 7 - Marlins 6
Friday, July 22, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
49-49 Rating 1489
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
47-52 Rating 1486
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 147 141
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 98 99
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 50% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 42%