Final Score: Mets 5 - Marlins 8
Saturday, July 23, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
50-49 Rating 1491
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
47-53 Rating 1484
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 148 141
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 99 100
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 51% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 41%