Final Score: Mets 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, July 24, 2011 at 1:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
50-50 Rating 1489
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
48-53 Rating 1486
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 148 142
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 100 101
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 50% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 42%