Final Score: Cubs 3 - Astros 4
Wednesday, August 17, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
54-69 Rating 1469
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Astros
39-84 Rating 1414
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 261 299
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 123 123
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 44% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 33%