Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Cubs 5
Friday, August 19, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
66-58 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.2
Cubs
54-70 Rating 1467
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 350 346
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 124 124
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 53% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 47%