Final Score: Reds 1 - Nationals 3
Thursday, August 18, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
60-63 Rating 1491
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Nationals
58-63 Rating 1453
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Nationals
All-time wins 232 197
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Nationals
Games played 123 121
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 49% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 58%