Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 8
Friday, August 19, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
80-42 Rating 1590
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
59-63 Rating 1455
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 384 337
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 11 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.1
Win percentage 66% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 59%