Final Score: Marlins 1 - Padres 3
Thursday, August 18, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
57-66 Rating 1479
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
55-70 Rating 1476
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 68 73
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 123 125
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 46% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 39%